MA4109 Applied Probability and Statistics Syllabus:

MA4109 Applied Probability and Statistics Syllabus – Anna University PG Syllabus Regulation 2021

COURSE OBJECTIVES:

 To compute probabilities and moments of standard distributions.
 To gain knowledge about regression and correlation.
 To provide the most appropriate estimator of the parameter in statistical inference.
 To decide whether to accept or reject specific values of a parameter.
 To understand many real-world problems fall naturally within the framework of multivariate normal theory.

UNIT I PROBABILITY AND RANDOM VARIABLES

Probability – Axioms of probability – Conditional probability – Bayes theorem – Random variables – Probability function – Moments – Moment generating functions and their properties – Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Uniform, Exponential, Gamma and Normal distributions – Function of a random variable.

UNIT II TWO DIMENSIONAL RANDOM VARIABLES

Joint distributions – Marginal and conditional distributions – Functions of two dimensional random variables – Regression curve – Correlation.

UNIT III ESTIMATION THEORY

Unbiased estimators – Method of moments – Maximum likelihood estimation – Curve fitting by principle of least squares – Regression lines.

UNIT IV TESTING OF HYPOTHESIS

Sampling distributions – Type I and Type II errors – Small and large samples – Tests based on Normal, t, Chi square and F distributions for testing of mean, variance and proportions – Tests for independence of attributes and goodness of fit.

UNIT V MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS

Random vectors and matrices – Mean vectors and covariance matrices – Multivariate normal density and its properties – Principal components – Population principal components – Principal components from standardized variables

TOTAL : 60 PERIODS

COURSE OUTCOMES :

After completing this course, students should demonstrate competency in the following topics:
 Basic probability axioms and rules and the moments of discrete and continuous random variables.
 To deal with problems involving two dimensional random variables.
 Consistency, efficiency and unbiasedness of estimators, method of maximum likelihood estimation and Central Limit Theorem.
 Use statistical tests in testing hypotheses on data.
 Perform exploratory analysis of multivariate data, such as multivariate normal density, calculating descriptive statistics, testing for multivariate normality.

REFERENCES :

1. Devore, J. L., “Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences”, 8th Edition, Cengage Learning, 2014.
2. Dallas E. Johnson, “Applied Multivariate Methods for Data Analysis”, Thomson and Duxbury press, 1998.
3. Gupta S.C. and Kapoor V.K.,” Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics”, 12th Edition, Sultan and Sons, New Delhi, 2020.
4. Johnson, R.A., Miller, I and Freund J., “Miller and Freund’s Probability and Statistics for Engineers “, 9th Edition, Pearson Education, Asia, 2016.
5. Richard A. Johnson and Dean W. Wichern, “Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis”, 6th Edition, Pearson Education, Asia, 2012.