EV4014 Climate Change and Modelling Syllabus:

EV4014 Climate Change and Modelling Syllabus โ€“ Anna University PG Syllabus Regulation 2021

OBJECTIVES:

๏‚ท To introduce the emerging concepts of climate modelling and projecting future climate change, understand data analysis and application.

UNIT I CLIMATE CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY

Introduction- atmosphere โ€“ weather and climate โ€“ climate parameters (Temperature, Rainfall, Humidity, Wind etc.,) Equations governing the atmosphere โ€“ numerical weather prediction models โ€“ introduction to GCMs โ€“ applications in climate change projections

UNIT II IPCC CLIMATE SCENARIOS

Intergovernmental PANEL on Climate Change (IPCC) โ€“ an overview โ€“ key assumptions โ€“ Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, 8.5)

UNIT III GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL

Climate model โ€“ types of model- General Circulation Models (GCM) โ€“ Issues with GCMs โ€“ Introduction to RCMs and LAMs โ€“ RCMs modellers -advantages and disadvantages of GCMs and RCMs

UNIT IV DOWNSCALING GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL โ€“ AN OVERVIEW

Need for downscaling โ€“ selection of GCMs for regional climate change studies โ€“ ensemble theory selection of ensembles, model domain (Spatial domain and temporal domain), Resolution and climate variables โ€“ lateral boundary conditions โ€“ methods of downscaling (Statistical and Dynamical) โ€“ examples from each and their limitations.

UNIT V ANALYSIS AND POST PROCESSING

Model validation and calibration- evaluating model performance- post processing โ€“ introduction to analysis tools โ€“ Ferret, R, Grads, IDL, SPSS, ArcGIS โ€“ climate change impact โ€“ vulnerability assessment-case studies-Adaptation strategies

OUTCOMES

On completion of the course, the student is expected to be able to
CO1: Understand the basics of climate change and variability
CO2: Comprehend the latest IPCC climate scenarios
CO3: Gain in-depth knowledge on climate models
CO4: Downscale of climate scenarios through different modelling techniques, and validate climate models
CO5: Post process the model outputs for climate impact assessment, know about adaptation strategies

REFERENCES:

1. IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2013
2. Neelin David J, โ€œClimate Change and Climate Modellingโ€, Cambridge University Press 2011
3. Kendal McGuffie, Ann Henderson, โ€œA Climate Modellingโ€ Primer 3rd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK 2005
4. Thomas Stocker, โ€œIntroduction to Climate Modellingโ€, Advances in Geophysical and Environmental Mechanics and Mathematics. Springer Publication, 2011
5. David Archer, โ€˜Global warming-Understanding the forecastโ€™, Blackwell publishing, 2007