EV4014 Climate Change and Modelling Syllabus:

EV4014 Climate Change and Modelling Syllabus – Anna University PG Syllabus Regulation 2021

OBJECTIVES:

 To introduce the emerging concepts of climate modelling and projecting future climate change, understand data analysis and application.

UNIT I CLIMATE CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY

Introduction- atmosphere – weather and climate – climate parameters (Temperature, Rainfall, Humidity, Wind etc.,) Equations governing the atmosphere – numerical weather prediction models – introduction to GCMs – applications in climate change projections

UNIT II IPCC CLIMATE SCENARIOS

Intergovernmental PANEL on Climate Change (IPCC) – an overview – key assumptions – Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, 8.5)

UNIT III GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL

Climate model – types of model- General Circulation Models (GCM) – Issues with GCMs – Introduction to RCMs and LAMs – RCMs modellers -advantages and disadvantages of GCMs and RCMs

UNIT IV DOWNSCALING GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL – AN OVERVIEW

Need for downscaling – selection of GCMs for regional climate change studies – ensemble theory selection of ensembles, model domain (Spatial domain and temporal domain), Resolution and climate variables – lateral boundary conditions – methods of downscaling (Statistical and Dynamical) – examples from each and their limitations.

UNIT V ANALYSIS AND POST PROCESSING

Model validation and calibration- evaluating model performance- post processing – introduction to analysis tools – Ferret, R, Grads, IDL, SPSS, ArcGIS – climate change impact – vulnerability assessment-case studies-Adaptation strategies

OUTCOMES

On completion of the course, the student is expected to be able to
CO1: Understand the basics of climate change and variability
CO2: Comprehend the latest IPCC climate scenarios
CO3: Gain in-depth knowledge on climate models
CO4: Downscale of climate scenarios through different modelling techniques, and validate climate models
CO5: Post process the model outputs for climate impact assessment, know about adaptation strategies

REFERENCES:

1. IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2013
2. Neelin David J, “Climate Change and Climate Modelling”, Cambridge University Press 2011
3. Kendal McGuffie, Ann Henderson, “A Climate Modelling” Primer 3rd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK 2005
4. Thomas Stocker, “Introduction to Climate Modelling”, Advances in Geophysical and Environmental Mechanics and Mathematics. Springer Publication, 2011
5. David Archer, ‘Global warming-Understanding the forecast’, Blackwell publishing, 2007